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Oct 27, 2012
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can governor romney get there if ohio is going blue. can romney get all the way to 270 when the president's already at 275. well, he would have to win florida, he would have to win virginia. then you're at 255, 254. he would have to win colorado. that would put him in play at 263. then from there, how does governor romney get over the top? he would if he won wisconsin, paul ryan's home state. 10 electoral votes right there. logic being if the president's winning ohio, these are two very similar states. so wisconsin would be one model and let's just say for the sake of argument that one did stay blue, that puts the president right there. governor romney would have to get there by winning in nevada, not enough, and new hampshire. so you see governor romney would essentially almost have to run the board without ohio. the president has more options if he loses ohio, because he starts closer to 270. so is it impossible for governor romney to win without this one? no. but is it improbable, yes. anderson? >> that's why they're spending so much
can governor romney get there if ohio is going blue. can romney get all the way to 270 when the president's already at 275. well, he would have to win florida, he would have to win virginia. then you're at 255, 254. he would have to win colorado. that would put him in play at 263. then from there, how does governor romney get over the top? he would if he won wisconsin, paul ryan's home state. 10 electoral votes right there. logic being if the president's winning ohio, these are two very similar...
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Nov 4, 2012
11/12
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mitt romney will win ohio and he's going to win ohio easily. >> holy smokes. meanwhile karl rove is acting like mitt romney has already got the thing all wrapped up. >> for the president to have wiped out his victory margin by poor performance in the early voting and the republicans are going to take election day, boeds well for romney for election day. i think ohio is going to be a squeaker, maybe 80, 100, 110,000 vote margin. >> let's turn to bob strum, mop the floor on that one. >> it's drifl. in the last ten days, 17,000 people have been polled in ohio. if you put all those polls together, even the republican leaning polls, the president has a lead outside the margin of error in those combine surveys. number two, he has a great ground game. if you look at that early voting, that early voting is working out very well for democrats. and in fact in florida where they tried to stop people from voting, it's made them mad and they go wait in lines two and three hours. thirdly you were right in the earlier segment. there is no question that the auto industry is l
mitt romney will win ohio and he's going to win ohio easily. >> holy smokes. meanwhile karl rove is acting like mitt romney has already got the thing all wrapped up. >> for the president to have wiped out his victory margin by poor performance in the early voting and the republicans are going to take election day, boeds well for romney for election day. i think ohio is going to be a squeaker, maybe 80, 100, 110,000 vote margin. >> let's turn to bob strum, mop the floor on that...
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Nov 4, 2012
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mitt romney will win ohio and he's going to win ohio easily. >> holy smokes. meanwhile, karl rove is acting like mitt romney has already got the thing all wrapped up. >> for the president to have wiped out his victory margin by poor performance in the early voting and the republicans are going to take election day bodes well for romney for election day. i think ohio is going to be a squeaker, maybe an 80,000, 100,000 to 110,000 vote margin. >> let's turn to bob strum, mop the floor on that one. >> it's drivel. in the last ten days, 17,000 people have been polled in ohio. if you put all those polls together, even the republican leaning polls, the president has a lead outside the margin of error of those combine surveys. so he's in a very strong position. number two, he has a great ground game. i don't know what karl rove is talking about. if you look at that early voting, that early voting is working out very well for democrats. and in fact in florida where they tried to stop people from voting, it's made them mad and they go wait in lines two and three hours.
mitt romney will win ohio and he's going to win ohio easily. >> holy smokes. meanwhile, karl rove is acting like mitt romney has already got the thing all wrapped up. >> for the president to have wiped out his victory margin by poor performance in the early voting and the republicans are going to take election day bodes well for romney for election day. i think ohio is going to be a squeaker, maybe an 80,000, 100,000 to 110,000 vote margin. >> let's turn to bob strum, mop the...
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Oct 29, 2012
10/12
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not ohio. ohio is different. why does romney think he can win ohio and catch up? the demographic group that mitt romney performs best with is white men. the demographic group he's performing poorly in ohio is white men. auto workers in toledo, akron, northwest part of the state. >> i think the reason for that is a, what rachel mentioned, the fight over union rights. a lot of counties that voted for kasich in the election swung overwhelmingly in favor of the unions in the referendum. secondly again the auto rescue. which makes a big difference in that quadrant you talked about. which is white working-class voters. and governor kasich dissed michigan, which i suppose is what you do when you're governor of ohio. i was up there this week. michigan has had one of the biggest drops in unemployment. when obama took office, michigan was a mess because of the auto industry. they've had a huge drop of unemployment. even though they a little bit higher now than michigan. and i was struck that governor kasich suggested that everybody was for the auto rescue. no, they weren't.
not ohio. ohio is different. why does romney think he can win ohio and catch up? the demographic group that mitt romney performs best with is white men. the demographic group he's performing poorly in ohio is white men. auto workers in toledo, akron, northwest part of the state. >> i think the reason for that is a, what rachel mentioned, the fight over union rights. a lot of counties that voted for kasich in the election swung overwhelmingly in favor of the unions in the referendum....
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Oct 27, 2012
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right now winning ohio is not looking good for romney. six ohio polls were released this week. five of them have president obama leading. one is tied. president obama's average lead in ohio is 2.3 points. that's a big lead, seriously. now families in northern ohio have not forgotten what the rescue of the automobile industry did for their state. one in eight ohio jobs are about the automobile industry. this is why mitt romney is doing everything he possibly can to down play the impact of the auto rescue. his political director says the obama campaign dropped the auto bailout on us, but there's only so long you can ride that one trick pony. you think getting a paycheck is a one-trick pony? romney called last night's event a victory rally. today romney gave a standard stump speech in iowa, but his campaign called it a victory event. so if you believe mitt romney, heck, he's already won the election. the auto rescue was no big deal and ohio jobs are getting shipped over to china. you can't believe a word this guy says. one no knows this isn't true is rob portman. portman knows rom
right now winning ohio is not looking good for romney. six ohio polls were released this week. five of them have president obama leading. one is tied. president obama's average lead in ohio is 2.3 points. that's a big lead, seriously. now families in northern ohio have not forgotten what the rescue of the automobile industry did for their state. one in eight ohio jobs are about the automobile industry. this is why mitt romney is doing everything he possibly can to down play the impact of the...
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Nov 1, 2012
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romney's ohio lie about jeep is not going to work in ohio in part because ohio voters follow the car industry like it's the local football team. the romney campaign's running these ads in youngstown, for example. take a look at the "youngstown vindicator." the kind of reporting they were doing back in july on a local plant. "i think part of this relates to our focus on quality and make sure parts are right so we don't pass problems further up the line," said somebody's cousin. here's the youngstown paper in august on a plant expanding. "good news would be welcomed at the plant where recent months have seen rumors of production cuts and whether plant's third shift was in peril." call aunt nelly and tell her we're going to be fine. when gm workers get transferred or walkway it's hometown news. in ohio it's your sister-in-law, it's your dad, it's you, right? look at this in the dleedo blade. the most read story today in the blade. in this town where mitt romney is running his madeup story about chrysler and jeep. number one, marchionne refutes romney's statement. would you know who this
romney's ohio lie about jeep is not going to work in ohio in part because ohio voters follow the car industry like it's the local football team. the romney campaign's running these ads in youngstown, for example. take a look at the "youngstown vindicator." the kind of reporting they were doing back in july on a local plant. "i think part of this relates to our focus on quality and make sure parts are right so we don't pass problems further up the line," said somebody's...
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romney is also trying to project strength in ohio. his campaign called last night's event a victory rally. today romney gave a standard stump speech in iowa, but his campaign called it a victory event. so if you believe mitt romney, heck, he's already won the election. the auto rescue was no big deal and ohio jobs are getting shipped over to china. you can't believe a word this guy says. one guy who knows this isn't true is senator rob portman. now, he is one of mitt romney's top surrogates. portman knows romney is toast without ohio. >> if we don't win ohio, it's tough to see us winning the election nationally. it's possible, but it's very difficult. >> along with all of that, we have said that mitt romney is a candidate who is really lacking in detail on every subject. now his electoral chances boil down to one state. the biggest deal in the state of ohio is the economy. ohio's economy would be in dire straits without the rescue of the automobile industry. and mitt romney flat-out opposed the rescue, although he's tried to reinvent
romney is also trying to project strength in ohio. his campaign called last night's event a victory rally. today romney gave a standard stump speech in iowa, but his campaign called it a victory event. so if you believe mitt romney, heck, he's already won the election. the auto rescue was no big deal and ohio jobs are getting shipped over to china. you can't believe a word this guy says. one guy who knows this isn't true is senator rob portman. now, he is one of mitt romney's top surrogates....
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Nov 4, 2012
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president obama will have made 19 stops in ohio, governor romney will be there 21 times. so let's get to our special panel. adam smith is the political editor, chris booker, wcmh and larry sabado. larry, let me start with you. the state of virginia, last time it was the closest to the country, the national popular vote. it was the one point off if you will of what obama -- mccain's numbers were, does the winner of the popular vote win virginia, larry? >> i think virginia is very very, close, chuck. i think you could argue that virginia is one of the two or three closest states in the country right now. it's funny to have a panel of florida, ohio and virginia. florida and ohio are used to this attention. they get it every four years. we used to be the bulgaria of american politics and now we've turned into the paris. or that's how we feel. i would say on the whole, having talked to both sides repeatedly, they both insist that their trackings show their candidate up a point or two. and i have no reason to disbelief them. that leads me to believe that it's very close. presid
president obama will have made 19 stops in ohio, governor romney will be there 21 times. so let's get to our special panel. adam smith is the political editor, chris booker, wcmh and larry sabado. larry, let me start with you. the state of virginia, last time it was the closest to the country, the national popular vote. it was the one point off if you will of what obama -- mccain's numbers were, does the winner of the popular vote win virginia, larry? >> i think virginia is very very,...
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Oct 31, 2012
10/12
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mitt romney and ohio jobs, wrong then. >> romney: let detroit go bankrupt. >> announcer: dishonest now. >> jennifer: and then romney's campaign did it again! but this time it wasn't chrysler. now, today they're paying for a radio ad saying the same thing about general motors. and that radio ad caused general motors to issue this statement. we've clearly entered some parallel universe during these last few days. no amount of campaign politics at its cynical worst will diminish our record of creating jobs in the u.s. and repatriating profits back to this country. now, the romney ads are so offensive because it is a bold-faced lie. he knows it is a lie. bill clinton confirmed it. >> bill: it turns out that jeep is reopening in china because they've made so much money here they can afford to do it and they are going on with their plans here. they've put out a statement today saying it was the biggest load of bull in the world they would consider shutting down the american operations. >> jennifer: because romney is so desperate opportunistic single-minded politician, he doesn't care that he
mitt romney and ohio jobs, wrong then. >> romney: let detroit go bankrupt. >> announcer: dishonest now. >> jennifer: and then romney's campaign did it again! but this time it wasn't chrysler. now, today they're paying for a radio ad saying the same thing about general motors. and that radio ad caused general motors to issue this statement. we've clearly entered some parallel universe during these last few days. no amount of campaign politics at its cynical worst will diminish...
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ohio is really ground zero. it's tough for mitt romney to win the presidency without ohio. it's part of the president's firewall, and polls show it will tight. >> just 100 miles separate the president and governor romney on the ground in ohio. the governor is expected to address supporters this hour. garrett headacake is traveling governor romney. we know the importance of the auto bailout in ohio. chris was on with with andrea mitchell. he said if romney doesn't win ohio, he doesn't win the white house here. what is the romney campaign saying that you have top officials from gm and chrysler all asserting that the attack add, the notion of jobs going to china is faps. what are they saying at in the point about the auto bailout for those who will vote in ohio. >> it's fascinating. on the campaign trail this is not an issue governor romney mentioned to advisers. they're standing by the ad. they say over time there will be effects from the auto bailout on this. this is not something he talks about with reporters. it's interesting they put this add out. they focus on ohio like
ohio is really ground zero. it's tough for mitt romney to win the presidency without ohio. it's part of the president's firewall, and polls show it will tight. >> just 100 miles separate the president and governor romney on the ground in ohio. the governor is expected to address supporters this hour. garrett headacake is traveling governor romney. we know the importance of the auto bailout in ohio. chris was on with with andrea mitchell. he said if romney doesn't win ohio, he doesn't win...
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Oct 28, 2012
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and in ohio, both governor kasich and mitt romney are right. governor kasich is right that his policies fundamentally different than obama's, lower taxes, close the budget deficit. make, create a regulatory environment that encourages investment and certainty. that those are improving the situation. governor romney is also, however, correct that there's a long way to go. and that there are lots of people in ohio and elsewhere around this country who are unemployed or underemployed and we have huge progress. and 2% gdp growth is nothing to crow about. in fact it's less growth than in 2011 and less than 2010. >> all the economic news is about republican policies and all the bad economic news is because of democratic policies? it's funny, it's just disingenuous. >> how much of this is a problem in terms of how people feel, rachel. we see more economic optimism in the country and yet people are still feeling like the obama record is lackluster and you look at the recovery still not feeling like it's robust enough. >> and you see it just in the raw
and in ohio, both governor kasich and mitt romney are right. governor kasich is right that his policies fundamentally different than obama's, lower taxes, close the budget deficit. make, create a regulatory environment that encourages investment and certainty. that those are improving the situation. governor romney is also, however, correct that there's a long way to go. and that there are lots of people in ohio and elsewhere around this country who are unemployed or underemployed and we have...
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if romney is winning independents in ohio, if romney's winning independents in ohio, they think he's going to win. >> so why would pollsters -- and this is an important question, the romney people say they're oversampling democrats. and we've seen some of these polls, depths plus nine, plus eight, plus seven, why would -- because obviously, the pollster's credibility is on the line. this is how they make their living. this is like buying a car whose doors fall off. people feed their children based on the accuracy of their polls. so why would they skew the sample overly democratic? >> because that's what's coming back in their survey. >> the pollsters don't start with a set idea of what the electorate's going to look like and impose that on their sample. if you think a sample comes back as democrats plus nine, the pollster doesn't go and mess with the numbers to get it to be the right distribution of partisan i.d. that they want. some pollsters do that waiting, very, very few and very, very few credible ones do that. they would say this is what the electorate's telling us. you might n
if romney is winning independents in ohio, if romney's winning independents in ohio, they think he's going to win. >> so why would pollsters -- and this is an important question, the romney people say they're oversampling democrats. and we've seen some of these polls, depths plus nine, plus eight, plus seven, why would -- because obviously, the pollster's credibility is on the line. this is how they make their living. this is like buying a car whose doors fall off. people feed their...
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i don't know who is going to win ohio. we show romney up by two. we have shown obama up in five polls, very close. >> sean: you are the only ones that have him up? >> most of the polls show it close. i think this is going to be a state that is going to be all about the turnout on election day. >> gregg:. >> sean: according to early voting, obama is not doing that well and romney is doing better. you wrote a column and wisconsin may be the new ohio. no republican has gotten to the white house except through ohio. if romney was to lose ohio but if he wins the other three states fh he wins. >> it is possible. that makes wisconsin a divisive state. if we go to to the early states, romney wins florida and virginia president obama wins ohio, then can romney wins a state that obama won by 14 points. >> paul ryan is very popular in wisconsin. >> there three things. state changed between 2008 and 2010 that helped walker. then a huge battle over walker's plan. the recall effort forced republicans to build a great organization that has been turned over to the
i don't know who is going to win ohio. we show romney up by two. we have shown obama up in five polls, very close. >> sean: you are the only ones that have him up? >> most of the polls show it close. i think this is going to be a state that is going to be all about the turnout on election day. >> gregg:. >> sean: according to early voting, obama is not doing that well and romney is doing better. you wrote a column and wisconsin may be the new ohio. no republican has...
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Nov 3, 2012
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ohio, governor romney hasn't led in a major poll in that state. right now you take an average of all the polls that look at the buckeye state, the president enjoys a lead there, some of those leads more substantial than others. is it at this point the buckeye state is it a wash for the governor? >> well, you know, i think he certainly had some trouble there gaining ground. he tried a new tactic over these last couple of days talking about the auto bailout, not a good look for him because of that op-ed that he wrote in 2008 titled let detroit go bankrupt. so when he even mentions the auto bailout it only turns the focus back to him in a have all of these local papers there really point to the fact that he has this ad out alleging jeep is transferring zwrobs china basically calling it a flat out lie. this hasn't been a good look to him. he moved to pennsylvania. as we know over the last many elections pennsylvania has been a solidly blue state. you see republican candidates in the last minutes of this campaign, last stage of this campaign historical
ohio, governor romney hasn't led in a major poll in that state. right now you take an average of all the polls that look at the buckeye state, the president enjoys a lead there, some of those leads more substantial than others. is it at this point the buckeye state is it a wash for the governor? >> well, you know, i think he certainly had some trouble there gaining ground. he tried a new tactic over these last couple of days talking about the auto bailout, not a good look for him because...
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i have been there we called ohio leaning obama. it never leaned romney. romney never had a lead in any of the polls in the entire year in ohio. part of the disadvantage romney has and part of the reason you have the head quarter numbers so big is because obama has been fighting for ohio for four years. i mean they have had a structure -- they never stood down their structure from four years ago and obama -- romney because of the primaries couldn't put as much focus on that. i think that is a disadvantage on election day. >> brit, there has clearly been movement in the polls both nationally and in the swing states towards romney especially since the first debate in early october. how do you read this race at this moment? >> well, let's assume that everyone is right that ohio is the lynchpin of the whole thing which i think is a reasonable support of the bishops position survivors position a supositios point. you have polls that show romney with a four or five or six-point lead. there will be another out tomorrow, the by partisan poll called the battlegroun
i have been there we called ohio leaning obama. it never leaned romney. romney never had a lead in any of the polls in the entire year in ohio. part of the disadvantage romney has and part of the reason you have the head quarter numbers so big is because obama has been fighting for ohio for four years. i mean they have had a structure -- they never stood down their structure from four years ago and obama -- romney because of the primaries couldn't put as much focus on that. i think that is a...
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it's not just that romney is taking on the president in ohio, romney is taking on the auto industry. and how is that resonating with oh ohioans, especially the job market we know there is one of the better ones in the country. >> it is, thomas. i was listening to some of the governor's remarks and i tell you, it made me nauseous, absolutely nauseous to hear this talk about things like that. jeep is investing $500 million into that plant in toledo. they'll be hiring 1,100 more workers. the fact that governor romney not only would lie but to incite fear into the residents and citizens of the state when it comes to the auto industry, he knows good and well that the president's policies helped to save the auto industry. and in the state of ohio, that means a lot of those are middle class jobs paying middle class wages. one of every eight jobs in this state is tied to the auto industry, so it's absolutely despicable. but he has proven himself to be just the shape shifter that he is. he will say and do anything, even if it is to right out lie to try to win the presidency. nobody in ohio is
it's not just that romney is taking on the president in ohio, romney is taking on the auto industry. and how is that resonating with oh ohioans, especially the job market we know there is one of the better ones in the country. >> it is, thomas. i was listening to some of the governor's remarks and i tell you, it made me nauseous, absolutely nauseous to hear this talk about things like that. jeep is investing $500 million into that plant in toledo. they'll be hiring 1,100 more workers. the...
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then he joins romney in westchester in ohio tonight. then there's former president bill clinton for the fifth player in all of this if you will and look at his schedule today in florida. he goes to lake worth, then ft. myers, then st. petersburg, then tallahassee. he's got five events in total today in florida. and you know the way he talks. talk about a hoarse voice by the end of the day it will be interesting to see where his voice is by 8:00 tonight. in the frenetic final days both candidates are giving positive pitches and warnings as to what will happen if the other guy is voted in. and bolder last night the president argued for another four years. >> after four years as president, you know me by now. you know me. you may not agree with every decision that i've made. you may be frustrated at the pace change. i always remind people that when we did the auto bail out only 10% of the country approved of it. >> and then the president argued romney is a candidate who can't be trusted. >> governor romney has been using all this formidibl
then he joins romney in westchester in ohio tonight. then there's former president bill clinton for the fifth player in all of this if you will and look at his schedule today in florida. he goes to lake worth, then ft. myers, then st. petersburg, then tallahassee. he's got five events in total today in florida. and you know the way he talks. talk about a hoarse voice by the end of the day it will be interesting to see where his voice is by 8:00 tonight. in the frenetic final days both...
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monday romney goes to florida, virginia, ohio, and new hampshire. obama counters with wisconsin, ohio, and a closing rally in iowa. the biggest surprise in that final 48 hours is romney's last minute bid in pennsylvania. polls in the state favor president obama, but not by as much as they once did. the romney campaign calls it expanding the electoral map. the obama campaign calls it a fairy tale. welcome to the parallel universe phase of the campaign. joining me is chicago mayor and former white house chief of staff rahm emanuel. let me start by showing a poll out of pennsylvania showing that the president's numbers have been slipping since september, and it's now looking like a four-point race in pennsylvania, which is inside the margin of error. are you all worried about that? >> no. i think, look, the campaign is set, and i think people remember going into this election are jobs and you just had a report friday of 171,000 jobs were created, and, candy, i think when i saw that number the fact back to january, 2009 when the president first got elec
monday romney goes to florida, virginia, ohio, and new hampshire. obama counters with wisconsin, ohio, and a closing rally in iowa. the biggest surprise in that final 48 hours is romney's last minute bid in pennsylvania. polls in the state favor president obama, but not by as much as they once did. the romney campaign calls it expanding the electoral map. the obama campaign calls it a fairy tale. welcome to the parallel universe phase of the campaign. joining me is chicago mayor and former...
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Oct 29, 2012
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romney is a slight lead here. you have ohio. the latest rasmussen report has romney ahead. the real clear has president obama with lead in ohio. there is another ohio poll out today that is a tie. 49. it seems like president obama and romney were tied according to many polls. obama people claim he had a lead in ohio. changed the dynamic on the ground. >> we now have a rasmussen poll, the first, i believe, of any of them to show romney ahead. the other sho they are tied. it's ted heat of a state romney had in his pocket a month ago. >> if you freeze race -- >> you freeze it to some extent. you leave five days instead of eight days. i'm not sure it's decisive. the polls tell us absent the hurricane, romney is a slow and steady tortoise in the race. be passing obama. he probably still does. look at the national poll. you cannot, if gallup is anywhere near right. gallup has him up six. say he is up three. you can't win national election by three points and lose in the electoral college. this is uncon zeable. if you win in popular vote you lose electoral in the year 2000 the mar
romney is a slight lead here. you have ohio. the latest rasmussen report has romney ahead. the real clear has president obama with lead in ohio. there is another ohio poll out today that is a tie. 49. it seems like president obama and romney were tied according to many polls. obama people claim he had a lead in ohio. changed the dynamic on the ground. >> we now have a rasmussen poll, the first, i believe, of any of them to show romney ahead. the other sho they are tied. it's ted heat of a...
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mitt romney is focusing his campaign in ohio. with the president having to focus his time on this, erin sdshgs he have a messaging advantage that he gets to be the president in this situation? what do you stay? >> he absolutely might. he can't get out to swing states today, tomorrow, and maybe not for the rest of the week if the devastation is very bad. he's going to be having bill clinton pinch-hit for him in many of the swing states throughout the week, and that may help them double-down a little bit with bill clinton down on the trail and president obama in washington. remember, mitt romney gets to shuttle back and forth between ohio and wisconsin, which are the two most important states. if president obama can hold on to nevada, wisconsin and ohio, he still wins with 271 electoral votes. so with mitt romney out on the trail, that is in part a disadvantage for president obama, but it's too hard to say right now. >> hogan, governor romney is continuing that cam taken to go forward in states not impacted by hurricane sandy. it w
mitt romney is focusing his campaign in ohio. with the president having to focus his time on this, erin sdshgs he have a messaging advantage that he gets to be the president in this situation? what do you stay? >> he absolutely might. he can't get out to swing states today, tomorrow, and maybe not for the rest of the week if the devastation is very bad. he's going to be having bill clinton pinch-hit for him in many of the swing states throughout the week, and that may help them...